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Trading Forex Using Currency Correlations
Posted on Sunday, August 7, 2011 by ken2husky
Defining a link trade?
when the correlation is no market, or Forex market, the number of currency pairs, along the trend: positive correlation is when you move in the same direction, and a negative correlation when the diverging paths in the same degree. By identifying the markets, a strong negative or positive correlation, Forex traders can predict future changes in price and cash in when the correlation fail. In currency markets, EUR / USD and GBP / USD has a strong correlation. Generally the trend in the same direction, although the GBP / USD could be more wrong than EUR / USD. Meanwhile, USD / CHF currency pair has a negative correlation with the EUR / USD. When trends are up, the other downward trends often
the U.S. dollar is also a strong correlation with gold, and bonds of America riznice.USD and gold tend to have negative correlation, when the U.S. economy is doing well, the dollar will usually benefit from capital flows into U.S. bonds certificates and shares, gold is less attractive in comparison. This also makes U.S. Treasury bonds go up in value as that is where the capital flows. When the U.S. economy is weak, and global political and economic eventualities is uncertain, traders and investors tend to sell the bond certificates and the shares and invest in gold as an alternative.
Outside the U.S., CAD / JPY pair has a strong correlation with the price of oil, as Canada is a major oil exporter, and Japan is a major importer of oil, the price and supply of oil impact in both economies. Also, as Australia is among the world's major gold producers, and the United States is among the world's major gold buyers, AUD / USD correlated with the price of gold. Also, given New Zealand a strong relationship with Australia, NZD / USD is also correlated with the gold cost. I, CAD, AUD and NZD, all the goods currencies tend to move in the same direction relative to the USD. Thus, all three currencies rise and fall in tandem, when combined with the U.S. dollar.
So what about when the market does not correlate?
markets that generally associate to do so because their movements are backed by real market forces, in the case of EUR / USD and CHF / USD, the currency pairs are influenced by European and American countries. However, such correlations are determined by examining changes in the price of overtime, it does not mean that the correlation remains robust.
the correlation breaks are known as crack, and Forex traders can use this. As FX traders know that the unusual circumstances to stop the correlation of the market behaves the way it should, so the markets should start to connect again as market conditions return to normal. Being able to predict the future direction of this (return of the correlation), traders can make substantial profits. That being said, the open position must be actively monitored, as well as the correlation between markets, whether or not they are the currency, commodity or index, not a precise science.
Category Article currency trading, forex, Forex market, Forex trading, fx, fx trade, fx trading, trading forex currency correlations
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